Libmonster ID: U.S.-484
Author(s) of the publication: Emma SOLOMATINA

Тhe Fedynsky Center of Regional Geophysical and Geo-ecological Research (GEON) under the RF Ministry of Natural Resources has been carrying out lately monitoring of elastic-brittle layer of the earth's lithosphere in the area of Caucasian Mineral Waters. The objective of these regular studies is medium- and short-term prognostication of earthquakes for a nature preserve of the size of 80х80 km (according to seismic risk it comes after Kamchatka, Sakhalin and regions situated along the ВАМ). About 1 min residents live there, but the population swells in summer-time. This fact contributed to the creation of a "forecasting ground" on this territory, which has been already in use for 5 years. Staff members of GEON - Leonid Solodilov, Igor Kadurin, Sergei Vasilyev and Vladimir Korobov surveyed the work implemented in the Caucasian region.

Eleven digital registrars of seismic signals "Alia-GEON" have been installed here; from remote points, using telemetry, the observation data are transferred to the Center of Data Collection and Processing, while from near ones they are collected by operators. The essential feature of the work method is presentation of final results on the "stress form" of the environment in a four-dimensional format (three spatial components and one temporary).

The method has been studied for 5 years through registration of 3 seismic events: with the magnitude (M) 3.5 at a distance of 130 km (an earthquake of February 21, 1996, to the south-east of the ground), with M=5.6 at a distance of 360 km (an earthquake of January 31, 1999, on the territory of Daghestan) and with M about 7 at a distance of 700 km (seismic shock in Azerbaijan). These data demonstrate a short-range action of a forecasting parameter "stress form"; in all cases the applied technology allows to timely (1 -7 days in advance) caution against a strong earthquake shock.

The latter gives ground to consider the territory of Caucasian Mineral Waters expressly as ecologoprotective. In addition, it is here that not simply the problem of forecasting is solved, but it is predicted how destructive will the action of any earthquake be on this territory.

The short-range action of the parameter "stress form" made it possible several times (in October 1997, April 1998, February 1999, etc.) to cancel false forecasts of seismic shocks, that had been given for the region near the Caucasian Mineral Waters through the use of other methods.

The prognostication system, worked out by GEON staff members, includes: plutonic seismic mapping to specify the state of dangerous zones in lithosphere; theoretical substantiation of their directions; organization of special grounds, where seismically hazardous points are concentrated, to observe the stress of the earth's crust. The efficiency of the monitoring carried out here is guaranteed by the up-to-date measuring- and-information complex "Delta-GEON" in combination with the data of engineering geophysics.

GEON Center is conducting similar forecasting studies in Moscow and near Almaty.

L. Solodilov, I. Kadurin, S. Vasilyev, V. Korobov, "Studies of Nature Preserves Territories/or Medium- and Short- Term Prognostication of Earthquakes", Mineral Resource Processing and Protection, No. 2, 2001


© libmonster.com

Permanent link to this publication:

https://libmonster.com/m/articles/view/FALSE-FORECAST-CANCELED

Similar publications: LUnited States LWorld Y G


Publisher:

Libmonster OnlineContacts and other materials (articles, photo, files etc)

Author's official page at Libmonster: https://libmonster.com/Libmonster

Find other author's materials at: Libmonster (all the World)GoogleYandex

Permanent link for scientific papers (for citations):

Emma SOLOMATINA, FALSE FORECAST CANCELED // New-York: Libmonster (LIBMONSTER.COM). Updated: 08.09.2018. URL: https://libmonster.com/m/articles/view/FALSE-FORECAST-CANCELED (date of access: 21.07.2024).

Publication author(s) - Emma SOLOMATINA:

Emma SOLOMATINA → other publications, search: Libmonster USALibmonster WorldGoogleYandex

Comments:



Reviews of professional authors
Order by: 
Per page: 
 
  • There are no comments yet
Related topics
Publisher
Libmonster Online
New-York, United States
378 views rating
08.09.2018 (2143 days ago)
0 subscribers
Rating
0 votes
Related Articles
TO THE 60TH ANNIVERSARY OF ALEXANDER VLADIMIROVICH AKIMOV
Catalog: Science Economics 
Yesterday · From Ann Jackson
V. N. TIMOSHENKO. THE SOUTH PACIFIC REGION ON THE THRESHOLD OF THE XXI CENTURY: FOREIGN POLICY AND SECURITY ISSUES
Yesterday · From Ann Jackson
INTERNEES, DEPORTEES AND PRISONERS OF WAR: UNKNOWN PAGES IN THE HISTORY OF CHINESE MIGRATION IN RUSSIA
Yesterday · From Ann Jackson
Progress Sums: 1,2,3,4,5..., -1,-2,-3,-4,-5... It can be found using the formula: Sn=(n²a₁+n)/2. Progress Sum: 1,3,6,10,15..., -1,-3,-6,-10,-15... It can be found using the formula: Sn= ((n+a₁)³-(n+a₁))/6. Progress Sum: 1,4,9,16,25..., -1,-4,-9,-16,-25... It can be found using the formula: Sn= a₁(n+a₁)(n²a₁+0.5n)/3. (Where n - is the number of summable terms, a₁ - is the first term of the progression).
Catalog: Mathematics 
2 days ago · From Andrei Verner
To the 80th anniversary of YEVGENY MAKSIMOVICH PRIMAKOV
Catalog: Science History Philosophy 
3 days ago · From Ann Jackson
NOVAYA ROSSIYA ISLAND (FROM THE HISTORY OF RUSSIAN POLITICS IN THE PACIFIC)
3 days ago · From Ann Jackson
PASSPORT AND VISA REGULATIONS AND LEGAL STATUS OF FOREIGNERS IN THE RUSSIAN FAR EAST IN THE LATE 19TH AND EARLY 20TH CENTURIES
3 days ago · From Ann Jackson
MUGHAL GARDENS: AN IMAGE OF PARADISE, A SYMBOL OF POWER
3 days ago · From Ann Jackson
IMAGE OF ESEGE MALAN TENGRI IN THE CONTEXT OF RELIGIOUS AND MYTHOLOGICAL TRADITION OF BURYATS
3 days ago · From Ann Jackson
PREHISTORY OF THE VIET (YUE) PEOPLES IN SOUTHEASTERN CHINA (BASED ON ARCHAEOLOGICAL MATERIALS)
3 days ago · From Ann Jackson

New publications:

Popular with readers:

News from other countries:

LIBMONSTER.COM - U.S. Digital Library

Create your author's collection of articles, books, author's works, biographies, photographic documents, files. Save forever your author's legacy in digital form. Click here to register as an author.
Library Partners

FALSE FORECAST CANCELED
 

Editorial Contacts
Chat for Authors: U.S. LIVE: We are in social networks:

About · News · For Advertisers

U.S. Digital Library ® All rights reserved.
2014-2024, LIBMONSTER.COM is a part of Libmonster, international library network (open map)
Keeping the heritage of the United States of America


LIBMONSTER NETWORK ONE WORLD - ONE LIBRARY

US-Great Britain Sweden Serbia
Russia Belarus Ukraine Kazakhstan Moldova Tajikistan Estonia Russia-2 Belarus-2

Create and store your author's collection at Libmonster: articles, books, studies. Libmonster will spread your heritage all over the world (through a network of affiliates, partner libraries, search engines, social networks). You will be able to share a link to your profile with colleagues, students, readers and other interested parties, in order to acquaint them with your copyright heritage. Once you register, you have more than 100 tools at your disposal to build your own author collection. It's free: it was, it is, and it always will be.

Download app for Android