Forecasting world development based on a civilizational approach can, under certain circumstances, be a productive tool for forming an idea of the nature and trends of changes in the components of the world order. In any case, such forecasting can offer some ways of knowing the coming period by the method of layer-by-layer analysis of the features of the functioning of economic systems and the socio-cultural factors operating in them. Clarifying the image of the future, which claims to be at least relatively correct and adequate, should be combined with the calculation of options based on mathematical methods that provide a higher degree of accuracy, and supplemented by the results of forecasts carried out for all regions of the world by different departments in order to formulate more reliable conclusions. Otherwise, the effectiveness of forecasting can be considered low, taking into account the above considerations, as well as the presence of factors that complicate the preparation of the final product, the significance of which for the forecast is detracted from by their vagueness and low suitability for unambiguous interpretation. page 119But even if it is possible to ensure that all the components of the forecast are linked in a logical chain and to some extent justified, the question remains open as to how much it will meet the realities of the coming era and how it can be used so that what is happening now does not become a prerequisite for negative consequences in the future. Expediency considerations for such projects are to benefit from them during the foreseeable period when appropriate measures can be taken to correct processes or phenomena that are essential for future development. In the short term, measured in five years, they help to develop tactical solutions to problems that can affect the life of one generation and thus make it easier for generations to come. State-wide planning is mainly carried out in this time range, but long-term or strategic ... Read more